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Jan 16, 2013
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we'll get an indication of where the economy is going and where it's been. volatility, people also watching apple k. it regain $500, that's been, you know, a lot of chatter here and there. and then on the equities side, 1471.25 on s&p futures the high back a few days ago. if we could break through the level, you will see increased fund flows, more money coming to the market to the long side. and it seems like, you know, i'm really -- surprised because the debt ceiling concern and talks, it's been pretty much nonexistent on the industrial -- >> the markets at fresh five-year highs. >> yeah. it's all because we had the fiscal cliff. and it was so volatile coming into it. we saw some massive swings and massive breakdowns coming into it. it seemed like the market was all over the place. with the debt ceiling, everyone thinks they'll kick the can, raise the debt ceiling up, or get resolved within -- >> that mean the market's at risk? it would seem yes, right? >> see, if you -- my opinion of what will happen is if there's any small breakdown in it, you know, if th
we'll get an indication of where the economy is going and where it's been. volatility, people also watching apple k. it regain $500, that's been, you know, a lot of chatter here and there. and then on the equities side, 1471.25 on s&p futures the high back a few days ago. if we could break through the level, you will see increased fund flows, more money coming to the market to the long side. and it seems like, you know, i'm really -- surprised because the debt ceiling concern and talks,...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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it would be a self-inflicted wound on the economy. it would slow down our growth, might tip us into recession, and ironically, would probably increase our deficit. so even entertain the idea of this happening, of the united states of america not paying its bills, is irresponsible. it's absurd. as the speaker said two years ago, it would be, and i'm quoting, speaker boehner now, a finance ral disaster not only for us but for the worldwide economy. so we've got to pay our bills. and republicans in congress have two choices here. they can act responsibly and pay america's bills, or they can act irresponsibly and put america through another economic crisis. but they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. and they better choose quickly because time is running short. the last time republicans in congress even flirted with this idea our aaa credit
it would be a self-inflicted wound on the economy. it would slow down our growth, might tip us into recession, and ironically, would probably increase our deficit. so even entertain the idea of this happening, of the united states of america not paying its bills, is irresponsible. it's absurd. as the speaker said two years ago, it would be, and i'm quoting, speaker boehner now, a finance ral disaster not only for us but for the worldwide economy. so we've got to pay our bills. and republicans...
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Jan 16, 2013
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economy. we'll see their economy return to growth. and you can't ultimately pay down debt until you've got economic growth. >> and just to get a little specific, what trades do you like then given the scenario that you're laying out? >> i think generally -- i think the story about europe is a global one because it's been the biggest drag on global growth. we've had a global confidence cries us that has prevented all of this cash -- if you look at u.s. companies, there's $2 trillion of cash -- >> trades, trades, pierce, trades. >> equities primarily. >> okay. >> and then you can pick. i think it's still going to be a macro move. you say trade, you want me to talk about sectors or geographic locations, fine. i think generally equities will go higher. peripheral europe will still outperform as will china. i like china particularly because it's undervalued. i think they're going to benefit from the european story. >> we'll talk about what needs to happen in the bond markets, as well. >> yes. >> in
economy. we'll see their economy return to growth. and you can't ultimately pay down debt until you've got economic growth. >> and just to get a little specific, what trades do you like then given the scenario that you're laying out? >> i think generally -- i think the story about europe is a global one because it's been the biggest drag on global growth. we've had a global confidence cries us that has prevented all of this cash -- if you look at u.s. companies, there's $2 trillion...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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economy is on good footing. any messages for washington as we approach another debt ceiling increase potentially, dan akerson of gm said don't screw up the economy holding it hose -- hose hostage, do you share that? >> uncertainty has to be removed as quickly as possible. it is not a good environment for consumer confidence to be built, so we're looking for resolution on debt ceiling, resolution on spending plans so that consumers can focus on really going about their business in a normal way. >> wants to build cars, not make policy. there you go. it's a good one. i owned ford explorers for 20 straight years. this is a real competitor to that vehicle. dennis: jeff flock, good job. thanks, den. cheryl: time for the west coast minute, a double digit return for the public employees pension system. it had a 2% return back in 2012. the nation's largest pension has investments worth $252 billion, almost back to its peak level of 2007 when the fund held $260 billion in assets. the fund's performance was just below its
economy is on good footing. any messages for washington as we approach another debt ceiling increase potentially, dan akerson of gm said don't screw up the economy holding it hose -- hose hostage, do you share that? >> uncertainty has to be removed as quickly as possible. it is not a good environment for consumer confidence to be built, so we're looking for resolution on debt ceiling, resolution on spending plans so that consumers can focus on really going about their business in a normal...
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Jan 16, 2013
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the economy will be picking up. housing likely to get in on it. >> maybe we're actually breaking -- maybe the valuations aren't -- >> based on what? >> come on, under wells fargo? >> michael dell, and suddenly, mr. skeptic -- >> overheated debt market, that's always a good sign for an economy. that's always a sign that things are getting a lot better. >> it's been getting overheated since 1979. >> big lbos. that worked out real well. no, i'm just -- there's housing, sales of pickups. sales of cars in europe for 2012, not so good. we'll talk about that. >> germany, the bmw sales, volkswagen sales. one of my cousins in mexico is near a bmw, new plant. the germans are down. they're buying like crazy. germany business, good. rest of the continent okay. ford cutting back very dramatically. >> boeing, more problems related to the dreamliner. japanese grounded their 787 for safety checks. the national transportation safety board, faa are going to japan to assess that incident. when the first problems arose last week, week
the economy will be picking up. housing likely to get in on it. >> maybe we're actually breaking -- maybe the valuations aren't -- >> based on what? >> come on, under wells fargo? >> michael dell, and suddenly, mr. skeptic -- >> overheated debt market, that's always a good sign for an economy. that's always a sign that things are getting a lot better. >> it's been getting overheated since 1979. >> big lbos. that worked out real well. no, i'm just --...
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Jan 16, 2013
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he can work on the economy and do something about gun violence. i don't think americans wanted to sit by. they want background checks. they want their children to be safe and keep their gun rights, too. all of that can be done with commonsense proposals, making sure people have their guns registered one way or the other. a lot of republican s and conservative democrats are standing in front of that because they want to make money with the gun industry instead of caring what the american people want. >> thank you so much for the interesting conversation. >>> is walmart's $50 billion pledge to build american-made products just bait and switch? some say it's a ploy to make you forget that the giant retailer also sells assault rifles. . uh, forgot jack's cereal. [ jack ] what's for breakfast? um... try the number one! yeah, this is pretty good. [ male announcer ] over a third of a day's fiber. fiber one. stress sweat is different than ordinary sweat. it smells worse. get 4x the protection against stress sweat. introducing new secret clinical strength
he can work on the economy and do something about gun violence. i don't think americans wanted to sit by. they want background checks. they want their children to be safe and keep their gun rights, too. all of that can be done with commonsense proposals, making sure people have their guns registered one way or the other. a lot of republican s and conservative democrats are standing in front of that because they want to make money with the gun industry instead of caring what the american people...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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the financials are a pure play against an improving economy. that is a procyclical type investment strategy looking at industrial financial technology. i think that is where we are. liz: american express, you also like leucadia as another pic. i guess it acts as a dow component. would love to know your perspective right now. >> they put out a good number today. again, here' here is another sin where management is running the business very well. additionally they have the right kind of finance in here right now, the upper echelon client, those people who pay their bills and pay them on time, you also have the benefit getting exposure in the emerging market. one of the keys for being successful for big businesses right now is to make sure you have exposure in these emerging markets. that is where real growth is happening and they could offset to that 2% growth rate we are experiencing in the u.s. that is one of the things you havlook for in these markets rit now. david: information technology, you are big on ebay. why? >> if you look at what ebay
the financials are a pure play against an improving economy. that is a procyclical type investment strategy looking at industrial financial technology. i think that is where we are. liz: american express, you also like leucadia as another pic. i guess it acts as a dow component. would love to know your perspective right now. >> they put out a good number today. again, here' here is another sin where management is running the business very well. additionally they have the right kind of...
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Jan 15, 2013
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i bet that this is one of these moments where the world economies are going to be better. i say that because it is the same batehavior i've seen over d over and over again. they are days to buy, not sell. in order to get into this bull market, here is the bottom line, i think this market is simply taking a snooze after a big bull run. but wakes itself up perhaps with my clock and if history serves me right, they go higher not lower and it is turned out that their evaluations ended up being catalysts galore. bob in florida, bob >> it is fwrat to tais great to. south florida by way of teaneck, new jersey. i'm calling about krispy kreme donuts. i sold it and forgot about it and now it seems like they reinvented themselves. the stock is up 70% since mid november and still trading. even talk about take over. >> i believe there is a turn going on. it has been ages since i looked at it. the last time i looked at it i chipped my tooth. i will do more work on it and see where this one can stop. nobody does know. robert in massachusetts, robert. >> booyah jim, hail from massachusett
i bet that this is one of these moments where the world economies are going to be better. i say that because it is the same batehavior i've seen over d over and over again. they are days to buy, not sell. in order to get into this bull market, here is the bottom line, i think this market is simply taking a snooze after a big bull run. but wakes itself up perhaps with my clock and if history serves me right, they go higher not lower and it is turned out that their evaluations ended up being...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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it will damage our economy. the government is a big part of this economy. it is interesting, a lot of times you people who recognize that when it comes to defense spending. when it comes to that defense contract in their district, they think, wow, this is a pretty important part. let's just take sure we are not spending on those other folks. [inaudible question] >> you know, look, my hope is that common sense prevails. that is always my preference. i think that would be the preference of the american people and i think it would be good for the economy, let me just repeat, if the issue is deficit reduction, getting our deficits sustainable over ttme getting our debt in a sustainable place, then democrats and republicans will have a partner with me. we can achieve that and we can achieve it fairly quickly, we know what the numbers are and we know what needs to be done. we know what a balanced approach would take. there has probably been more pain and drama and getting there than we needed. finishing the job should not be that difficult. if everyone comes to t
it will damage our economy. the government is a big part of this economy. it is interesting, a lot of times you people who recognize that when it comes to defense spending. when it comes to that defense contract in their district, they think, wow, this is a pretty important part. let's just take sure we are not spending on those other folks. [inaudible question] >> you know, look, my hope is that common sense prevails. that is always my preference. i think that would be the preference of...
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Jan 16, 2013
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is still a better economy than so many of the economies around the world. and so we benefit from that. we remain the a safe haven at the moment, until we aren't anymore. the question is, when will that happen. the second point is, markets have many immediate threats to be worried about. recently we had, are we going over the fiscal cliff or are we not. now the question whether the sequester will hit, which would be too much deficit reduction in too many parts of the budget too quickly. will we have a government shutdown because funding will end? and the debt ceiling there are a lot of action-forcing moments markets are worried about. the bigger issue is our deficits and debt. the fact that is more like thing from in the boiling water. it gradually undermines your economy's ability to perform, it hurts economic growth and takes away the stability that allows us to generate growth through investment, job creation, all the things we need to get the economy going. markets will not like to respond to that on any one day. it will hinder our economic performance.
is still a better economy than so many of the economies around the world. and so we benefit from that. we remain the a safe haven at the moment, until we aren't anymore. the question is, when will that happen. the second point is, markets have many immediate threats to be worried about. recently we had, are we going over the fiscal cliff or are we not. now the question whether the sequester will hit, which would be too much deficit reduction in too many parts of the budget too quickly. will we...
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Jan 16, 2013
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the second-largest airline is said to be struggling with competition, high fuel prices and the german economy. australian vitamin and supplement maker swisse vitamins is crossing the pacific pond. the privately-held company will set up its north american headquarters in chicago and start selling its most popular products in walgreens stores starting february 1st. rite aid and target stores will start selling the products in april. the company's ceo says the products it sells will be manufactured in utah and florida. swisse vitamins is positioning itself as a premium product and intends to price its products 5-10% above competitors such as pfizer and bayer. the nation's largest retailer is reaching out to men and women in the service. wal-mart is offering a job to every veteran who honorably left the military in the past year. the program will continue for 5 years and is expected to provide work for more than 100,000 veterans. additionally, the retailer is committing to buying an additional $50 billion of u.s.- made products in the next 10 years. the government of japan joins the u.s. governme
the second-largest airline is said to be struggling with competition, high fuel prices and the german economy. australian vitamin and supplement maker swisse vitamins is crossing the pacific pond. the privately-held company will set up its north american headquarters in chicago and start selling its most popular products in walgreens stores starting february 1st. rite aid and target stores will start selling the products in april. the company's ceo says the products it sells will be...
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Jan 15, 2013
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debt as well as the global economy. according to rex macy it is. he thinks there's a good chance that risk fears will rise and, therefore, the market will pull back. will that be the moment for investors to get in. good to see you, gentlemen. thanks so much for joining us. what are you expecting in terms of this market 2013? >> sure. well, right now we're at 1472 on the s&p. we think it's going to go marginally higher from here, but it's not going to be a smooth ride. we've got a vix at 13 and change. that's too low. that's where the complacency comes from. you see it there. as we move into the debt ceiling debate, it can be far harder to solve than the taxes, we think the market can be down for a while, and before it comes back up. >> so you're looking for a decline, and perhaps that is an entry point for some. do you agree with that? >> i think any decline is an opportunity to buy, maria. i'm very, very bullish on u.s. equities and one of the main reasons i am the u.s. energy story which i think is a story that's not being told as well as it shou
debt as well as the global economy. according to rex macy it is. he thinks there's a good chance that risk fears will rise and, therefore, the market will pull back. will that be the moment for investors to get in. good to see you, gentlemen. thanks so much for joining us. what are you expecting in terms of this market 2013? >> sure. well, right now we're at 1472 on the s&p. we think it's going to go marginally higher from here, but it's not going to be a smooth ride. we've got a vix...
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Jan 16, 2013
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economy. european economy. are they going to continue this, and guidance, digging down a little bit deeper into the 2013 story will be really key what the stock price does tomorrow. david: sandy, you have a little bit to add here on ebay, go ahead. >> the fact they beat four straight quarters and here they are with results pretty much right in line with analyst estimates might be the disappointment factor that is weighing in on the shares right now. after this beat we are slightly lower in after-hours trading. paypal was obviously very strong. i do want to point out that the stock has been rallying in anticipation of these numbers coming out point out. first couple weeks of the year, the stock is up 5%. there has been a lot of optimism and a lot of buying into this report. maybe a bit of selling on the news here. liz: sandra, shibani, thank you very much. we're watching ebay as well as gun control as the story develops. peter barnes is very latest on the president's announcement and comments on the issue. we'll
economy. european economy. are they going to continue this, and guidance, digging down a little bit deeper into the 2013 story will be really key what the stock price does tomorrow. david: sandy, you have a little bit to add here on ebay, go ahead. >> the fact they beat four straight quarters and here they are with results pretty much right in line with analyst estimates might be the disappointment factor that is weighing in on the shares right now. after this beat we are slightly lower...
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Jan 13, 2013
01/13
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small businesses are revitalizing the economy, and american express open is here to help. that's why we are proud to present "your business" on msnbc. hi there, everyone. i'm j.j. ramberg, and welcome to "your business," the show dedicated to giving you tips and advice to help your small business grow. for small businesses, the uncertainty of last year has carried over into 2013. the good news. the national federation of independent business optimism index was up slightly in december. the bad news. the index is still at recession levels. the index for this month is expected to be impacted by the fiscal cliff tax deal passed by congress. that deal negotiated between vice president joe biden and senate republicans ends the payroll tax holiday, raises taxes on those making over $400,000 a year and increases capital gains tax rates. so, how will this impact your small business? barbara wealthman is an attorney and a leading authority on tax law and finance for small businesses. she is the writer of the muntari e newsletter "big ideas for small business" and also author of the
small businesses are revitalizing the economy, and american express open is here to help. that's why we are proud to present "your business" on msnbc. hi there, everyone. i'm j.j. ramberg, and welcome to "your business," the show dedicated to giving you tips and advice to help your small business grow. for small businesses, the uncertainty of last year has carried over into 2013. the good news. the national federation of independent business optimism index was up slightly in...
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Jan 15, 2013
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two indicators that say a lot about our economy. first off, a lot of people tapping into their 401(k)'s before retirement. billions of dollars being taken out to pay current bills. another one coming at the top of the hour, a number of working poor people growing. millions of families , but they're working at the same time. and that story new at 10 precisely. time is money, 30 seconds, here is what else we've got for you tuesday morning. president obama readying 19 on gun control. the judge will tell us about it. and lance armstrong finally admitting to doping, now he's come clean, is there any way his image can be rehabilitated. i say no way. and thanks to obamacare, the cost of your health insurance could go up as much as 50%. find out why you will be paying a whole lot more t all right, seven earlies, here we go on a tuesday morning. the circuit manufacturer, multi-fine line, less money coming in, the stock is down. retailer, goredman's never heard of them, but gordman's lowered its outlook. and radioshack ended its unprofitable
two indicators that say a lot about our economy. first off, a lot of people tapping into their 401(k)'s before retirement. billions of dollars being taken out to pay current bills. another one coming at the top of the hour, a number of working poor people growing. millions of families , but they're working at the same time. and that story new at 10 precisely. time is money, 30 seconds, here is what else we've got for you tuesday morning. president obama readying 19 on gun control. the judge...
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Jan 14, 2013
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yet the economy is -- the real economy is trading somewhat off its highs. if you look at europe, for example, where the headlines have been negative. the news flow has been awful. performance has been awful as well. so the market in europe has more reflected the performance of the real economy than it has here in the u.s. the fed qe program, the safe haven of the u.s. has caused money to flow to this part of the world. i think that leaves the u.s. a little pricier and perhaps more of a risk. >> it takes courage to fight the fed, though, right? >> absolutely. but ultimately and jack said it, fundamentals do matter. i think the market will reflect those. >> i heard active management does better in down markets than the index. they do better in the up markets. >> no question about it. and if you looked at the '08 to first quarter of '09 period, many people left them, haven't come back. god forbid we have another experience like that. then you'll see the index funds have a hard time recapturing the momentum. >> you see a blend of active and passive? >> i think
yet the economy is -- the real economy is trading somewhat off its highs. if you look at europe, for example, where the headlines have been negative. the news flow has been awful. performance has been awful as well. so the market in europe has more reflected the performance of the real economy than it has here in the u.s. the fed qe program, the safe haven of the u.s. has caused money to flow to this part of the world. i think that leaves the u.s. a little pricier and perhaps more of a risk....
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economy st. at risk. it's tuesday, january 15th, 2013 and "squawk box" begins right now. >>> good morning, everybody. welcome to "squawk box" here on cnbc. i'm becky quick along with joe kernen and andrew ross sorkin. we've been watching the u.s. equity futures and at least at this point you can see they do look like they're indicated to open a little lower. right now, dow futures down by about 16 points below fair value. the s&p futures are about 2 points below fair value. we have some different nebs going on at the top of the screen than we do on that fair value board. we'll check on that, as well. >>> dell is said to be in talks with private companies in reports of a possible guyout. the journal says jpmorgan is involved in the negotiations. dell shares have been soaring near an eight-month high on first word of this news yesterday. you can see up about close to 2% to the premarket sales. 64 is the last dip. in other technology news, facebook is holing a press conference today. no word on what the big
economy st. at risk. it's tuesday, january 15th, 2013 and "squawk box" begins right now. >>> good morning, everybody. welcome to "squawk box" here on cnbc. i'm becky quick along with joe kernen and andrew ross sorkin. we've been watching the u.s. equity futures and at least at this point you can see they do look like they're indicated to open a little lower. right now, dow futures down by about 16 points below fair value. the s&p futures are about 2 points below...
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Jan 16, 2013
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how important to your economy and pennsylvania is the fracking shale revolution? it is extremely important and we put an impact fee on the shale. we picked up $204 million rather than put taxes whose impact fee into the community. it has allowed the industry itself to hire people. there are related companiy ies t hire people. and you know the phrase the necessity is the mother of invention. a lot of inventions are being developed but the energy itself allows businesses across the state to grow. a lot of companies in south eastern pennsylvania and philadelphia are going to be using it to power the refineries, it is looking and hopefully will build a facility that will take the ethonol and take ethanes they are paying around $80,000. the average workforce is $47,000. >> why is the governor still waiting? >> i know what is going on. i know there are a number of people that used to be opposed to it. a lot of them have changed here. but there are a certain group that are opposed to it. but i remind many people we follow it closely and it is a technology that has been u
how important to your economy and pennsylvania is the fracking shale revolution? it is extremely important and we put an impact fee on the shale. we picked up $204 million rather than put taxes whose impact fee into the community. it has allowed the industry itself to hire people. there are related companiy ies t hire people. and you know the phrase the necessity is the mother of invention. a lot of inventions are being developed but the energy itself allows businesses across the state to grow....
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Jan 14, 2013
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economy questioned, that kind of drop in confidence has the potential to create the next financial collapse. of course, so does unchecked runaway spending. so, it seems clear, neither is a good option. it's hope washington realizes this. quick check on the markets and it was a mixed day. the dow jones up 18 points. nasdaq down 8. s&p 500 down 1.37 points. the real stock of the day was dell. it is higher today on reports that it is in talks over a possible buyout by private equity firms. take a look. the stock rallied almost 13%. that will do it for us. thank you for being with us. hope you'll follow me on twitter and google plus. stay with cnbc, because "fast money" begins right now. >>> live from the nasdaq market site in new york city's times square. i'm melissa lee. sour apples. shares of the iphone maker slide. is apple turning into forbidden fruit? the mystery event. what facebook could be unveiling in less than 24 hours. we're in countdown mode with one of its biggest investors. and the great rotation into stocks heating up. we get the likely impact. first, our top story. apple shares
economy questioned, that kind of drop in confidence has the potential to create the next financial collapse. of course, so does unchecked runaway spending. so, it seems clear, neither is a good option. it's hope washington realizes this. quick check on the markets and it was a mixed day. the dow jones up 18 points. nasdaq down 8. s&p 500 down 1.37 points. the real stock of the day was dell. it is higher today on reports that it is in talks over a possible buyout by private equity firms....
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economy. so guess what? the stock market is up as the consensus earnings estimate has come down. and so the bear aurchlt lacks an intellectual continuity where they were right on the earnings estimates come down, but they've goes to explain. so you think the as specs further identity are improving as we got past the tax cliff. we're going to get past the spending clip in an ugly way. you have to depend on washington, d.c. to give you some banana republic action before we get to the middle of 2013. but in the middle of 2013, we'll know what all of the rules are. and i think the capital spending orders are going to come back and reinforce the housing improvement that you described as well as a pretty good auto market. >> we are talking all day today because everybody got their paycheck and it is definitely smaller. it's always smaller t beginning of the year. but is there any way that there is a headwind from people just not having as much money? >> yes, there's a headwind for the economy and we
economy. so guess what? the stock market is up as the consensus earnings estimate has come down. and so the bear aurchlt lacks an intellectual continuity where they were right on the earnings estimates come down, but they've goes to explain. so you think the as specs further identity are improving as we got past the tax cliff. we're going to get past the spending clip in an ugly way. you have to depend on washington, d.c. to give you some banana republic action before we get to the middle of...
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Jan 14, 2013
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we will let you know what he's saying about our economy and the future fed action. as we know that can be market moving. this event could move the markets tomorrow. david: that's a live picture coming out of michigan. we will be going right back there. also the news of apple cutting down orders for iphone parts is driving the stock way down again today. we have an apple analyst who cut his price target by 150 bucks back in december. does he think it's also time for the company to cut their ceo tim cook? sandra: shares of dell soaring on talk of a buyout. more on both tech stories coming up. keep it right here. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] this is karen anjeremiah. they don't know it yet, but they' gonna fall in love, get married, have a couple of kids, [ children laughing ] move to the country, and live a long, happy life together where they almost never fight about money. [ dog barks ] because right after they get married, they'll find some retirement people who are paid on salary, not commission. they'll get straightforrd guidance and be able to focus on other thing
we will let you know what he's saying about our economy and the future fed action. as we know that can be market moving. this event could move the markets tomorrow. david: that's a live picture coming out of michigan. we will be going right back there. also the news of apple cutting down orders for iphone parts is driving the stock way down again today. we have an apple analyst who cut his price target by 150 bucks back in december. does he think it's also time for the company to cut their ceo...
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Jan 18, 2013
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economy, investors 401(k) plans are up, last 12 months significantly. >> do you think there's any pivot point to get the small investor back into the market that's coming? >> that's a good question. i don't know there's a real moment that does it. i can't think of what the big epiphany where everybody says oh i got it, but i think it's just a growing sense of confidence. we needed europe. we needed greece to stop looking like it was -- >> right. >> we needed europe to stabilize broadly. we needed the chinese leadership transition to happen and happen seamlessly. we needed the election to be past here. we needed the start to the fiscal cliff resolution. all of those things are starting to happen. confidence is growing. unemployment is ticking down. so i think it's more a gradual shift. >> right. one of the interesting things about morgan stanley is a couple years ago people were actually predicting your demise, like morgan stanley would not be there, it would have to merge, it didn't have the earnings power. i guess this is proof positive that that wasn't right, that you guys can remain
economy, investors 401(k) plans are up, last 12 months significantly. >> do you think there's any pivot point to get the small investor back into the market that's coming? >> that's a good question. i don't know there's a real moment that does it. i can't think of what the big epiphany where everybody says oh i got it, but i think it's just a growing sense of confidence. we needed europe. we needed greece to stop looking like it was -- >> right. >> we needed europe to...
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Jan 14, 2013
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fuel economy, cafe, and people's driving habits. more conscious fuel economy. we see a small growing small car segment. as p gr as /* people want the functionality that shows their personality and we believe this does that. >> is the bounce back, as far as recovering from the economy and u.s. sales. >> i think the playing field is level. we are starting the year with good inventory. same time last year we didn't have good inventory. this year it is a level play be field. we think we have tail wind as an industry going into the year. age of the car fleet. 11 plus years. all of those things. we think everybody is breaking great new product to market. we think that will stimulate as well. >> you are in california. you are seeing sales way above the national average in terms of increases there. does that pretend that rest of the country follows in 2013-14. >> historically we looked to the coast, california and new york, as bell weathers for the rest of the nation. if that pattern stays true, yes, we think that that result could come across the u.s. and we could get
fuel economy, cafe, and people's driving habits. more conscious fuel economy. we see a small growing small car segment. as p gr as /* people want the functionality that shows their personality and we believe this does that. >> is the bounce back, as far as recovering from the economy and u.s. sales. >> i think the playing field is level. we are starting the year with good inventory. same time last year we didn't have good inventory. this year it is a level play be field. we think we...
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Jan 16, 2013
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the chinese economy is obviously a major and inner ene ener -- f iron ore. it looks that the fundamentals are in place for an aussie breakout. >> give us your levels, todd. >> sure. the australian dollar, technically speaking, is facing a breakout, 1.06. this is a range that's been in place for almost a year and a half. so, 1.06 is the entrillion on a weekly break. you want to take profit up around 110. >> all right, todd, thank you for that. todd gordon of aspen. and more money in motion every friday, 5:30 p.m. eastern time. tim, in terms of the iron ore, we saw big spikes in the price in fourth quarter in china. >> yeah, how about a vej mite sandwich, too? you have big chinese data coming out, but iron ore, goldman has that note out. watch that chart. >> let's play a little good, bad and ugly and tonight -- stars dan nay tan. first up, dan said to keep an eye on yahoo!. take a listen. >> the mighty goldman sachs reinitiated the stock with a buy of $22, 12-month price target. they say the sum of the parts is much greater. i actually agree. implied volatilit
the chinese economy is obviously a major and inner ene ener -- f iron ore. it looks that the fundamentals are in place for an aussie breakout. >> give us your levels, todd. >> sure. the australian dollar, technically speaking, is facing a breakout, 1.06. this is a range that's been in place for almost a year and a half. so, 1.06 is the entrillion on a weekly break. you want to take profit up around 110. >> all right, todd, thank you for that. todd gordon of aspen. and more...
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Jan 15, 2013
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you know, the economy, you know, two steps forward, one step back, and corporate america can't carry the water. it will be difficult for the market, and priced pretty much to perfection at the current level with popular averages, not leaving room for disappointment. liz: hate one step forward, two back -- >> no, the other way. liz: either way, not moving fast. is that at a decent clip? >> actually, that's something we talked about last week on the show, and what we're looking at, again, south africa, right now, the mining situation is getting worse and worse, and -- liz: labor issues? >> the strikes, strikes, labor issues, and a threat that some of the major companies are shutting down the mines until they resolve this. we'll have a shortage in these areas, and, also, seeing platinum taking a bit of a piggy back ride up. it's at the 1680s mirroring where gold is now. silver is joining along for the ride. we're seeing a lot happening with the precious metals. liz: platinum is higher than gold for the first time in ten months. do you care? is that significant? it's 1682 against 1680, t
you know, the economy, you know, two steps forward, one step back, and corporate america can't carry the water. it will be difficult for the market, and priced pretty much to perfection at the current level with popular averages, not leaving room for disappointment. liz: hate one step forward, two back -- >> no, the other way. liz: either way, not moving fast. is that at a decent clip? >> actually, that's something we talked about last week on the show, and what we're looking at,...
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Jan 15, 2013
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rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. you name it...i've hooked it. but there's one... one that's always eluded me. thought i had it in the blizzard of '93. ha! never even came close. sometimes, i actually think it's mocking me. [ engine revs ] what?! quattro!!!!! ♪ >>> welcome back to "power lunch." just when you thought he wouldn't channel his inner steve jobs, he has. he's come back to the stage to say one more thing. facebook has a partnership with microsoft's bing. how interesting is that? we'll see what they're doing here. if nothing fits the querrey from the graph search, you can go to the web do a web search on bing, and that is microsoft's key their there. those shares are likely to beive between now and the next couple of hours. even in the afte
rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. you name it...i've hooked it. but there's one... one that's always eluded me. thought i had it in the blizzard of '93. ha! never even came close. sometimes,...
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Jan 16, 2013
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on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, january 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. hae a great evenin everye. and you, too, tom. >> tom:ood night, susie. we'll see you online at www.nbr.com and back here tomorrow night. captioning sponsored by wpbt captioned by media access group at wgbh access.wgbh.org
on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, january 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. hae a great evenin everye. and you, too, tom. >> tom:ood night, susie. we'll see you online...
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Jan 15, 2013
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chances are the economy is going to get better. wouldn't that make you want to buy stocks right now. >> it does. we're not -- we're actually a little bit more bullish, esespecially the first six months of the year. we still are expecting slow growth, commodities where we're shorting assets, but in terms of u.s. and in terms of international, we do expect growth, and we are excited about what's happening, but later on in the year i think it's going to be another story. >> what do you mean by that, later on in the year? what's going to be the upset later on in the year? >> there's a lot more issues coming out in terms of europe later in the year. right now it's all about -- it's all about expectations of positive growth that we have in the u.s., but, you know, we still have issues, and investors have got to focus on -- we've got an incredible spending problem. there's still problems in europe so we don't really believe that this year is going to be like last year, but we do expect small positive returns though. >> rick santelli, i wa
chances are the economy is going to get better. wouldn't that make you want to buy stocks right now. >> it does. we're not -- we're actually a little bit more bullish, esespecially the first six months of the year. we still are expecting slow growth, commodities where we're shorting assets, but in terms of u.s. and in terms of international, we do expect growth, and we are excited about what's happening, but later on in the year i think it's going to be another story. >> what do you...
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Jan 16, 2013
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on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, january 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. have a great evening, everyone. and you, too, tom. >> tom: good night, susie. we'll see you online at www.nbr.com and back here tomorrow night. captioning sponsored by wpbt captioned by media access group at wgbh access.wgbh.org >>> tonight on "spark" -- we meet artists who fuse genres, cultures and modes of expression in ways that are surprising and provocative. in our first story, we'll check out the growing phenomenon of muslim hip-hop. >> home of the brave, land of the free, now this i still got to see. it's not what mainstream muslims really talk about. >> they're realizing that their kids are being influenced by rap music more than anything else, including them. >>> then -- we'll visit the west marin studio o
on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, january 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. have a great evening, everyone. and you, too, tom. >> tom: good night, susie. we'll see you...
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Jan 16, 2013
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on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, jnuary 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. have a great evening, everyone. and you, too, tom. >> tom: good night, susie. we'll see you online at www.nbr.com and back here tomorrow night. captioning sponsored by wpbt captioned by media access group at wgbh access.wgbh.org
on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, jnuary 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. have a great evening, everyone. and you, too, tom. >> tom: good night, susie. we'll see you...
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Jan 19, 2013
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then when the economy turns and it always turns, when that economy turns you have nothing in the pipe. and, people run you over out of the gate. >> reporter: but, not all innovation happens in multibillion dollar labs. here in manhattan's fashion district, www.ilikewhatyourwearing.com is trying to ignite a fashion revolution. started by olivia gossett, the website sells cutting edge clothing by rising designers. but, it's also an online magazine-- one that uses cute articles to sell products and foster those independent designers. >> i think we're opening up gateways in the industry for other people that otherwise wouldn't have a chance to make a name for themselves. you know you see the same dress on four different websites for four different prices from the same label and you're left kind of wondering isn't their more out there. >> reporter: ilwyw.com may not help cure for cancer, but it might create jobs. and, it's part of a push by new york city's borough president scott stringer to make the big apple a destination for start- ups. what he calls the innovation economy. >> how we ta
then when the economy turns and it always turns, when that economy turns you have nothing in the pipe. and, people run you over out of the gate. >> reporter: but, not all innovation happens in multibillion dollar labs. here in manhattan's fashion district, www.ilikewhatyourwearing.com is trying to ignite a fashion revolution. started by olivia gossett, the website sells cutting edge clothing by rising designers. but, it's also an online magazine-- one that uses cute articles to sell...
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Jan 17, 2013
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you've got a slowdown in the global economy. do you still think we're going to see money moving into equities despite some of these challenges knowing that that's exactly what we saw at year end anyway? do you think that it continues? >> well, there's no question. unfortunately, there's continued uncertainty around washington and the actions of washington. i don't believe that we're going to see a continued slowdown in the global economy though. you know, the movement, what you're seeing in japan and the japanese stock market starting to reflect that, you're -- you know, you have the japanese government trying to really reboot that economy. you're seeing the chinese government and the new leadership trying to reboot their economy, so, if any, you're going to see probably an accelerated economy n.parts of the world i still think we'll have structural problems in europe and all the uncertainty about the united states so i don't believe it's going to be as bad as it sounds. the u.s. certainly may, but i actually think what's going
you've got a slowdown in the global economy. do you still think we're going to see money moving into equities despite some of these challenges knowing that that's exactly what we saw at year end anyway? do you think that it continues? >> well, there's no question. unfortunately, there's continued uncertainty around washington and the actions of washington. i don't believe that we're going to see a continued slowdown in the global economy though. you know, the movement, what you're seeing...
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Jan 17, 2013
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it will be especially good for the economy. >> good to see you, mr. tisch. thank you. >>> we're going to go to bert that coombs for a market flash. take it away. >> thanks, tyler. the teen retailer, bmo is out with a flash note saying it looks like the company is finally getting serious to turn things around. they want to focus on the expertise of some of the new management and also to try to capture that teenage mind not with key items, tyler, but the whole outfit. everybody likes to see the whole shebang. >> i like the outfits. >>> lance armstrong revealing all on oprah, including he is manti te'o's girlfriend. how much of a hit will the armstrong brand take? stay with us. lance. ♪ [ male announcer ] when we built the cadillac ats from the ground up to be the world's best sport sedan... ♪ ...people noticed. ♪ the all-new cadillac ats -- 2013 north american car of the year. ♪ for a limited time, take advantage of this exceptional offer on the all-new cadillac ats. omnipotent of opportunity. you know how to mix business... with business. and you...re
it will be especially good for the economy. >> good to see you, mr. tisch. thank you. >>> we're going to go to bert that coombs for a market flash. take it away. >> thanks, tyler. the teen retailer, bmo is out with a flash note saying it looks like the company is finally getting serious to turn things around. they want to focus on the expertise of some of the new management and also to try to capture that teenage mind not with key items, tyler, but the whole outfit....
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Jan 15, 2013
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economy is being under valued. $1.4 trillion is the run-up and i expect the u.s. to outperform again. >> joey? >> i think the u.s. continues to do well and the ultimate indicator is where volatility is. it's incredibly cheap and remains -- insurance can be provided to protect your portfolio. i don't think that the ultimate concerns that the people have. >> we've got news on germany and the german economy, gdp is contracting. it was down half of a percent. in 011 it was up 3% n 2012 it was up .7%. they are the engine for growth there. i'm not sure it's going to work out for you in the first half of the year. for europe, i don't think it's undervalued. it's had a great run into the u.s. >> two major banks report earnings tomorrow. much of the conversation that we're having today certainly directed to what is going on with the banks and what it could mean for the markets. jpmorgan, goldman, ahead of the market tomorrow. joe t., you take yours? >> my position has been goldman sachs, be morgan stanley. it's been that way for a long time. i like the marketplace here. i
economy is being under valued. $1.4 trillion is the run-up and i expect the u.s. to outperform again. >> joey? >> i think the u.s. continues to do well and the ultimate indicator is where volatility is. it's incredibly cheap and remains -- insurance can be provided to protect your portfolio. i don't think that the ultimate concerns that the people have. >> we've got news on germany and the german economy, gdp is contracting. it was down half of a percent. in 011 it was up 3% n...
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economy well gerry warner makes an excellent point now and economy has two components in its export market they've got the exploitation of services or they've got the exploitation of goods manufactured goods in britain has not exported had a net balance of exportation of manufactured goods since the nineteen eighties the entire economy sense that your has been built on basically services and what are these services they are financial services. i want to power pursue with a thirty year bond market bull bull bond market where interest rates were falling now we're at a juncture in time where britain has got its manufacturing capacity they're left with financial services as really the only engine of growth during a period of bond collapse and interest rates rise that's why i'm shorting the british pound that's why jim rickards the famous guru who wrote currency war has come out and said the british pound is toast jeremy warner who's a cheerleader for the government over there at the telegraph is pointing out even that the pound is toast a payload in the yen are toast additionally not only are
economy well gerry warner makes an excellent point now and economy has two components in its export market they've got the exploitation of services or they've got the exploitation of goods manufactured goods in britain has not exported had a net balance of exportation of manufactured goods since the nineteen eighties the entire economy sense that your has been built on basically services and what are these services they are financial services. i want to power pursue with a thirty year bond...
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Jan 15, 2013
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economy as a whole. >> well, i think it would be clearly a very significant impact. the important thing i think about this discussion is when we're looking at it in a more holistic fashion, what are we going to do to reduce the budget deficits and also deal with the trade deficits, but even more importantly, what do we do to create an environment where businesses can grow and we can expand economic development? because this is still a very, very fragile expansion, though it is a expansion from probably the deepest recession we've ever been in wince the depression. a lot of pent-up demand, so i think this debate is centered on the right thing, what do we do to create an environment where businesses can grow. >> if we need and if republicans argue that what needs to be done is to cut the deficit, they need to perhaps go into default, are you okay with that? ivities illustrates well again i think we need to look at that time it through the lens of economy development. anything to slow this expansion down would have very, very serious consequences to all of us. >> let me
economy as a whole. >> well, i think it would be clearly a very significant impact. the important thing i think about this discussion is when we're looking at it in a more holistic fashion, what are we going to do to reduce the budget deficits and also deal with the trade deficits, but even more importantly, what do we do to create an environment where businesses can grow and we can expand economic development? because this is still a very, very fragile expansion, though it is a expansion...
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Jan 14, 2013
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is this going to impact the broad economy in the earning season, do you think? >> i guess this whole political thing is these are all the bricks in the wall of worry that equity markets are continuing to climb. you know, we know how to talk about these things, they're out there, in the media a lot. we follow them sometimes like a sport. maybe we exaggerate a little bit how much these political match nations, i don't want to minimize them but i think sometimes we miss the point that there are really good companies out there who figured out how to make really good money with all of this political noise going on. >> and yet, greg, so many potholes ahead. you know we're going to see a lot of back and forth over raising the debt ceiling, sequestration is still on the horizon now. less than two months away. the continuing resolution. i want you to take a listen to the president's spokesperson this week on the debt ceiling and get your reaction to that. >> sure. >> he will not negotiate with congress when it comes to the essential responsibility of congress to pay the
is this going to impact the broad economy in the earning season, do you think? >> i guess this whole political thing is these are all the bricks in the wall of worry that equity markets are continuing to climb. you know, we know how to talk about these things, they're out there, in the media a lot. we follow them sometimes like a sport. maybe we exaggerate a little bit how much these political match nations, i don't want to minimize them but i think sometimes we miss the point that there...
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Jan 18, 2013
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economy is recovering. the u.s. consumer has delevered, has got more confidence in the system. we're past the election. the u.s. economy is recovering. that's unmistakable. the speed of it still remains to be determined. but we're recovering. china leadership happened. china will support the growth in that economy and they will drive domestic demand. europe is not getting worse. and there are signs of green shoots even in japan at this point. >> all right. >> and then you've got all the brazil and indonesia which are still exciting stories. i feel good about where the world is heading. is it on a bull streak? no. but is it on a firmer footing? yes. as a long-term investor i care about firm footing. >> some day we will go through 15,000 on the dow, and then 16,000. and then 17,000. >> yeah. >> i mean i just wonder is that within the next couple of years? i mean it's about time. it's been -- we went from 800 to 14,000. and we haven't moved from 14,000 in like 10, 12 years. >> my father always says a journey of a thous
economy is recovering. the u.s. consumer has delevered, has got more confidence in the system. we're past the election. the u.s. economy is recovering. that's unmistakable. the speed of it still remains to be determined. but we're recovering. china leadership happened. china will support the growth in that economy and they will drive domestic demand. europe is not getting worse. and there are signs of green shoots even in japan at this point. >> all right. >> and then you've got all...
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Jan 15, 2013
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the fed is spending 6% more m-2 every year and that's helping the economy. but the real driver of growth is technology. it's the entrepreneur. it's the innovator. it's the creator. we have the cloud, the spark phone, attacking all of these great new technologies and that's what i try to draw investors' focus on. let's not pay so much attention to what government is doing. let's look at what is causing growth underneath, what has always caused growth and that's entrepreneurial activity, innovation, and activity. we have a lot of it going on right now. >> finally, brian, housing is turning into a pretty nice tail wind here. i wonder, though, you see the ten-year at 285. >> right. >> how much can the market withstand if the 30-year mortgage continues to tick up? >> when we go back to the early 1990s when housing was pretty strong, interest rates were a lot higher than they were today. i think the fed is artificially holding rates down. we could have the federal funds rate at 2, 2 1/2 without any harm to the economy. we could take the ten-year treasury up to 3,
the fed is spending 6% more m-2 every year and that's helping the economy. but the real driver of growth is technology. it's the entrepreneur. it's the innovator. it's the creator. we have the cloud, the spark phone, attacking all of these great new technologies and that's what i try to draw investors' focus on. let's not pay so much attention to what government is doing. let's look at what is causing growth underneath, what has always caused growth and that's entrepreneurial activity,...
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Jan 15, 2013
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the rest of the world is counting on our economy right now to keep growing so the world economy can keep growing. when newt gingrich says this is a bad idea to use -- hold the country hostage to the debt ceiling, when newt gingrich looks like a moderate and a statesman, i think the republicans ought to rethink their strategy. >> ruth, how badly would this damage the economic recovery? i think it would totally wipe it out. it would probably bring from what i could see unemployment to levels that we haven't seen even back when we had the economic problems in the start of 2009. it would be worse than that. what do you think? >> it would be a complete disaster. and both sides have acknowledged that, that i think the president put it really well today when he said that the republicans are essentially saying if we don't get 100% of what we want, we're going to blow up the economy. and nobody doubts that it would blow up the economy. but also what they're pushing for is deep cuts that will hurt that very same list of people you started the segment with. they want cuts to social security, to med
the rest of the world is counting on our economy right now to keep growing so the world economy can keep growing. when newt gingrich says this is a bad idea to use -- hold the country hostage to the debt ceiling, when newt gingrich looks like a moderate and a statesman, i think the republicans ought to rethink their strategy. >> ruth, how badly would this damage the economic recovery? i think it would totally wipe it out. it would probably bring from what i could see unemployment to...
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a lot of the conditions in the economy are slow. it spending is to the really that great. so i don't know if the estimates are that achievable. i also think that yeah, better risk/reward in other sectors in the market. we're trying to advise our clients how to outperform the s&p. i think there is better opportuniy. within tech there are some things we like where recommending suck stocks for example. i think that is one economically sensitive area that the stocks haven't participated that much in the rally. >> susie: let's talk about the areas that have been telling your clients, morgan stanley clients which direction to go. you have three big themes for your clients. buy stocks with from american companies with exposure to china, positive on china. buy dividend paying stocks and you like very large stocks, what you call megastocks. why are these the themes for you? >> well, look, for china i think we identified late last fall that the u.s. companies with china exposure had really lagged the broader market and had gotten quite cheap. and the china economy started to stabili
a lot of the conditions in the economy are slow. it spending is to the really that great. so i don't know if the estimates are that achievable. i also think that yeah, better risk/reward in other sectors in the market. we're trying to advise our clients how to outperform the s&p. i think there is better opportuniy. within tech there are some things we like where recommending suck stocks for example. i think that is one economically sensitive area that the stocks haven't participated that...
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. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. >> reporter: republicans called the president hypocritical for saying he will not negotiate over the debt limit while blasting republicans for refusing to negotiate. and they fired back that the debate over the debt ceiling was the perfect time to consider legislation to cut spending. at the same time, only a handful of republicans have actually said they'd let the united states default on its bills. >> the president claims this, but republicans have always raised the debt ceiling. we've never seen the debt limit fail to be raised. all they have said is we want to apply the same criteria that the president himself applied when he was a senator and say we don't want to give the president a blank check. we would like to fix the substantive problem which is the level and the growth in the debt. >> reporter: markets are almost trea
. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. >> reporter: republicans called the president hypocritical for saying he will not negotiate over the debt limit while blasting republicans for refusing to negotiate. and they fired back that the debate over the debt ceiling was the perfect...